Позитивные изменения. Том 2, № 3 (2022). Positive changes. Volume 2, Issue 3 (2022)

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The term and theory were first voiced by the American mathematician and economist Nassim Taleb (he outlined the theory in “Fooled by Randomness” (2004) and introduced the term itself in “Black Swan” (2007). By “Black Swan” Nassim Taleb means an event that initially seems rare and difficult to predict. He cites some examples of the “black swans” from the last century: the development of the Internet, World War I, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the terrorist attack of September 11, 2001.

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The term VUCA was coined over 30 years ago by economists Warren Bennis and Burt Nanus. This concept has dominated the business world for the past 20 years because it reflected the reality of the Cold War, a reality of volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. In 2016, however, Jamais Cascio introduced the latest and updated concept of the world – BANI. Read more on RBC Trends (https://trends.rbc.ru/trends/futurology/62866fde9a794701a4c38ae4).